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AdExchanger· AdExchanger·· 11 天前AI 评分38

AdExchanger 每日综述:订阅制流媒体重拾广告,独立代理困于 DSP 费率

Subscription Streamers Fall Back In Love With Ads; Indie Agencies Get Lost In The DSP Margins

文章要点
  • 1NAB Show 上分析师判断流媒体没有广告业务就无法盈利,美国银行称广告是高利润增量收入
  • 2小型独立代理机构抱怨 The Trade Desk 每月 10 万美元门槛与 17% 费率,转售商 Mogl 再收 12%
  • 3AI 搜索流量冲击下,The Ringer 多位知名作者近期在 Substack 开设付费 newsletter,定价各不相同
  • 4Meta 被新墨西哥州法院就个人数据问题罚款 250 亿美元;TikTok 广告被 Meta 封禁后预算转向 YouTube
决策要点

这期综述的实质是广告收入成为流媒体盈利的命门,而广告技术供应链的账期错配让小代理的费率困境短期难解。

  • 影响:流媒体把广告当核心利润来源,多家平台在考虑免费广告档,可买的广告库存与触点可能增加;小代理与 DSP 的费率矛盾源于账期错配,短期难解;AI 搜索分流下出版方与创作者转向付费订阅找收入。
  • 参考:可考虑把流媒体广告档位纳入投放比价范围;小型代理方值得把 TTD 17% 平台费叠加转售商 12% 这类成本计入模型;内容与品牌媒体方可先算自有订阅与第三方平台的收入组合。
  • 依据:广告依赖的判断出自 NAB Show 场内分析师发言;代理费率与案例来自 Digiday 采访;Meta 罚款为法院判决,TikTok 预算转向出自 Business Insider。
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Ads To The Rescue

Investors and equity analysts took stock of the streaming TV market during the National Association of Broadcasters Show in New York City on Wednesday.

Their verdict? A little bleak.

Compared to linear TV, streaming doesn’t serve consumers as well as many had hoped, said Eric Menell, global head of media and communications investment banking at J.P. Morgan, during a session on the NAB show floor. 

For one, people don’t love shelling out for multiple services, especially when that includes also having to pay to see commercials. The streaming platforms themselves see this as a simple value exchange. (That disconnect is why many platforms are now considering free ad-supported tiers.)

To retain subscribers, analysts agree that streaming services need to boost engagement with their original content and IP, especially live sports. They’ll also have to figure out how to balance their desperate need for ad revenue with the other imperative: a decent viewing experience that doesn’t piss people off.

Getting this right is no joke. Without functional ad businesses, streamers won’t be able to achieve profitability. Advertising is “such a high-margin, incremental” source of revenue, said Jessica Reif Ehrlich, managing director of media, entertainment and US equity research at Bank of America Securities, also speaking on the panel.

No wonder Netflix keeps boasting about how many people have been signing up for its ad tier.

The Windy Indies

Independent media agencies have been largely outpaced by the biggest holdcos (which, to be fair, regularly neuter the indie market by acquiring standout performers).

But don’t underestimate the indies. They’re not small potatoes.

One 15-person agency in New York City told Digiday that even though they clear The Trade Desk’s $100,000 monthly minimum, the platform’s slim profit margins make it hard to justify shifting more spending there.

Instead, the small agency sticks with a reseller, Mogl, which takes a 12% fee on media spend on top of TTD’s 17%, per an exec.

Meanwhile, another buyer at a 25-person agency in Washington state noted that while Amazon DSP claims to have no minimum spend threshold, committing to a specific budget is the easiest way to secure a direct account.

Um, okay.

At the root of this problem is the payment gap due to ad tech’s tortuous supply chain. DSPs can’t just credit advertisers with hundreds of thousands of dollars, and they sometimes have to wait months before an agency or brand actually pays for a campaign. But the DSP pays upfront. That’s why we see painful publisher clawbacks and SSPs left hanging (and holding the bag) when a DSP goes bankrupt. 

Which is to say, don’t expect DSP fees to improve for small agencies anytime soon. 

Subjugated By Substack

The AI search traffic apocalypse has legacy publishers turning to paid newsletters for revenue – but they aren’t the only ones struggling with this transition.

Even The Ringer, a new media org with the technological backing of its parent company Spotify, seems to be making its newsletter strategy up as it goes along.

At least, that’s according to Defector, which is a not-so-friendly competitor of The Ringer.

Defector’s Owen Lewis points out that several of The Ringer’s most popular writers and podcasters, including Sean Fennessey, Zach Lowe, Tom Pelissero and Bryan Curtis, have all recently launched newsletters on Substack, and all at different subscription price points. Meanwhile, another Ringer writer, Todd McShay, is publishing his newsletter on Beehiiv.

And here’s another interesting wrinkle: Although The Ringer has largely pivoted to video podcasting, newsletters are a way to get back to writing, which The Ringer’s Fennessey described to GQ as a more precise medium for news than podcasting.

Even so, Lewis wonders why The Ringer isn’t simply asking creators to do more writing for its own website and then putting that content behind a paywall. Perhaps this is just another sign that the traditional website-based digital publishing model is falling out of vogue.

Or, as Lewis puts it, “Have the executives in charge of The Ringer, like seemingly everyone else, surrendered to the idea that Substack is the only place where people will actually read things anymore?”

But Wait! There’s More! 

Meta has been fined $25 billion by a New Mexico court. A jury found Meta liable for nearly 44 million violations of the state’s Unfair Practices Act for misleading users about how their personal data is handled and for failing to implement safeguards following the 2016 Cambridge Analytica scandal. [The Santa Fe New Mexican]

A new Comscore report says YouTube leads in streaming TV ad exposure, with Tubi a distant second. [Digiday]

Holiday shopping creep is officially out of hand: Consumers may be 30% of the way through their holiday budgets before the end of October. [Modern Retail]

TikTok is shifting its media budget en masse to YouTube after its ads were banned by Meta. [Business Insider]

Unfortunately for Amazon, it’s surprisingly easy to remove lockscreen ads from Kindle devices. [Mashable] 

Two severe security vulnerabilities were discovered in PHP, a programming language that’s widely used by web and app developers. [Ars Technica]

Despite facing criticism from his own party, Ohio Republican gubernatorial candidate Vivek Ramaswamy is forging ahead with plans to spend $4 million on a controversial attack ad featuring his opponent Amy Acton’s estranged mother, who lost custody of Acton when she was 12 years old. [AP]

Remember when ChatGPT’s UTM links inexplicably disappeared? Turns out that was a mistake – but it’s fixed now. [Search Engine Land] 

You’re Hired!

Diageo names Sebnem Erim as CMO for North America. [Ad Age]

Here’s today’s AdExchanger.com news round-up… Want it by email? Sign up here.

来源:AdExchanger · adexchanger.com