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Tomasz Tunguz 博客·· 2026-08-26精选AI 评分76

NVIDIA's $108b Quarter

NVIDIA's $108b Quarter

文章要点
  • 1NVIDIA Q2 FY27 营收 $96b、同比增长 106%,Q3 指引 $108b,为半导体公司首个单季破 $100b
  • 2超大规模云厂收入环比增 13%,ACIE 客户环比增 25%,neocloud 首次贡献过半新增数据中心收入
  • 3应收账款环比增 64% 至 $63b,DSO 从 45 天升至 60 天,增速远超营收 18% 的环比增幅
  • 4NVIDIA 累积 $581b 供应承诺、电力担保与租赁,并持有 $101b 采购其芯片的 AI 初创与 neocloud 股权
决策要点

NVIDIA 的增长引擎正从超大规模云厂转向资金实力更弱的买家,公司以自身资产负债表为这部分需求提供信贷支撑。

  • 影响:供应端已有 $581b 的承诺安排,短期算力供给有庞大支撑;需求方结构转向现金流较弱的 neocloud 与初创,增长对厂商账期的依赖上升;超大规模云厂自研芯片构成潜在需求分流。
  • 参考:可考虑把 NVIDIA 的 DSO 与应收账款增速纳入算力投资参考指标;采用 neocloud 算力的企业值得先评估这类供应商的现金流与融资能力;采购谈判可留意账期条款变化。
  • 依据:营收、指引与电话会收入拆分为官方财报口径;DSO 与应收数据来自财报;信贷扩张解读为作者个人分析,暂无官方确认。
正文 · 原文

In short : NVIDIA's Q2 FY27 revenue reached $96b with a $108b Q3 guide, but hyperscale revenue grew only 13% sequentially against 25% for everyone else. To fund the buyers filling that gap, NVIDIA extended payment terms — DSO rose from 45 to 60 days & receivables hit $63b — & built a $581b stack of supply commitments, power guarantees, leases & $101b of equity in the AI startups & neoclouds buying its chips.

NVIDIA booked $96b of revenue last quarter, up 106% from a year ago & 18% from the quarter before. The company guided Q3 to $108b ±2%.

That guide crosses $100b of revenue in a single quarter. No semiconductor company has ever reached that threshold, & no company of any kind has reached it while growing triple digits.

NVIDIA total and Data Center quarterly revenue rising toward a $108b guide

Q2 alone runs at $385b a year. At $108b, NVIDIA annualizes to $432b of revenue, making it the sixth largest company in the world, leapfrogging Apple, McKesson & Alphabet.

The only companies still ahead of it are Amazon, Walmart, State Grid, UnitedHealth & Saudi Aramco,1 all of which compound between -3% & 14% a year. NVIDIA is growing 106%.

On gross profit, the math is even more extreme. Because NVIDIA operates at 75.0% gross margins, that $108b quarterly run-rate generates $324b of annual gross profit, ranking it second in the world.

But the revenue contribution is shifting.

NVIDIA Data Center revenue split between hyperscalers and all other clouds, industries and enterprises

Colette Kress gave the split :

“Hyperscale revenue more than doubled from a year ago and increased 13% sequentially… ACIE revenue increased 138% from a year ago and 25% sequentially driven by end-demand from AI natives, enterprises, and sovereign customers.”

Hyperscaler share of NVIDIA Data Center revenue falling from 59% to 55% as ACIE share rises

For the first time, neoclouds contributed the majority of net-new Data Center revenue. This shift suggests NVIDIA’s business is healthier & more diversified than before, but it raises the question of whether hyperscaler custom silicon, Google TPUs, Amazon Trainium & Meta MTIA, will eventually slow Big Tech’s demand.

Jensen Huang described the replacement demand :

“This time last year, one lab alone was driving the buildout; today, we have a golden age of new AI labs and startups, multiple frontier labs scaling in parallel, a thriving open-model ecosystem and physical AI coming online.”

It also changes the credit risk. Non-hyperscalers have significantly weaker balance sheets & smaller cash flows than Big Tech, meaning NVIDIA will likely provide more supplier financing to sustain their growth. We are already seeing that show up in the receivables.

NVIDIA days sales outstanding jumping from 45 to 60 days as accounts receivable surged to 63 billion dollars

Days sales outstanding jumped from 45 to 60 in one quarter. For eight quarters before this, DSO sat in a band between 43 & 46 days. Revenue grew 18% sequentially. Receivables grew 64%.

Kress attributed it to “extended payment terms on large, multi-quarter agreements with certain investment-grade customers.”

Watch DSO next quarter. If 60 days was a one-time reset, it holds or falls. If it climbs, it signals that NVIDIA is extending more credit to sustain demand from buyers who cannot self-fund their growth.


  1. Annual revenues based on Fortune Global 500 : Amazon ($717b), Walmart ($713b), State Grid ($655b), UnitedHealth ($448b), & Saudi Aramco ($446b). ↩︎

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来源:Tomasz Tunguz 博客 · tomtunguz.com