手机销量下滑约 20%,高通押注 AI 数据中心,预计最终占业务约 30%
Qualcomm is betting big on data centers as smartphone sales sink
- 1高通在 Q4 2026 财报电话会宣布押注 AI 数据中心业务,预计最终占公司业务约 30%
- 2官方预测数据中心收入 2027 年一季度约 6.5 亿美元,2027 年底 50 亿美元,2029 年 150 亿美元
- 3高通 2026 年总营收 104 亿美元,今年已宣布与 Amazon、Meta 的数据中心合作
- 4高通手机销量较 2025 年下滑约 20%;AMD 称数据中心最终将占其营收超 80%
AI 数据中心的溢出需求给了高通这类二线芯片厂第二条增长曲线,用来对冲手机业务约两成的下滑。
- 影响:若收入目标兑现,算力采购方的供应商名单会变宽,议价环境可能改善;手机业务收缩约两成,依赖高通手机芯片订单的供应链需重估需求预期;AI 算力供给不再只由头部厂商决定。
- 参考:可考虑把高通等新进数据中心芯片厂纳入算力采购的比价清单,跟踪其 2027 年一季度 6.5 亿美元目标的兑现进度;做手机相关业务的企业值得重估对高通手机芯片出货的依赖程度。
- 依据:收入预测与 30% 占比为高通 Q4 2026 财报电话会官方口径,暂无独立验证;手机下滑约 20% 与 AMD 超 80% 为报道转述的公司说法。
Qualcomm expects data center chips will eventually account for 30% of its business.
Qualcomm expects data center chips will eventually account for 30% of its business.
by Terrence O'Brien
Nov 4, 2026, 10:42 PM UTC


Illustration by Alex Castro / The Verge
Terrence O'Brien
is the Verge’s weekend editor. He’s covered the tech industry for over 18 years and knows a thing or two about synths.
With smartphone sales tanking by around 20 percent compared to 2025, Qualcomm is looking to data centers to help boost its bottom line. During its Q4 2026 earnings call, the company laid out its plans to make a splash in the AI data center business, through partnerships with companies like Amazon and Meta announced earlier this year. The company expects that portion of its business to grow quickly, forecasting around $650 million in data center revenue during the first quarter of 2027. But it anticipates that will reach $5 billion by the end of 2027 and $15 billion by 2029.
Considering the company’s total revenue for 2026 was $10.4 billion, that would constitute a significant share of its earnings. It confirmed during the call that it expects data centers to eventually account for around 30 percent of its business.
That’s not quite as ambitious as AMD, which says that it expects over 80 percent of its revenue will eventually come from data centers. But it suggests there’s plenty of demand that needs to be filled and enough AI money to go around.
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- Terrence O'Brien
来源:The Verge · AI · theverge.com