Palantir 三季度营收同比增 96%,企业总合同额回落藏隐忧
Hiding inside Palantir’s skyrocketing quarter is a foreboding signal
- 1Palantir 三季度营收增 96% 至 23.1 亿美元,首次突破 20 亿美元并上调全年指引
- 2美国商业收入 9.84 亿美元同比增 148%,首次超过美国政府收入的 9.53 亿美元
- 3美国企业总合同额从上季创纪录的 21.3 亿美元降至 14.6 亿美元,企业倾向短期试用合同
- 4CEO 称企业签约更快、合同更短也更易取消;公司上调美国商业收入指引至超 35.59 亿美元
Palantir 营收翻倍增长,但企业客户多签短期试用,上季承诺合同额环比下滑,增长成色打了折扣。
- 影响:企业采购 AI 的节奏在变快,先短期试用再扩张合同成为常见路径;评估 AI 服务商不能只看营收增速,承诺合同额与续约情况更能反映客户留存;采购方试错成本下降,供应商则面临更不稳定的收入结构。
- 参考:可考虑将 AI 采购拆成短期试用加扩张条款的两段式安排,先在单一场景验证价值再谈长约;值得在选型时调取供应商的客户续约与合同额数据,而非只比当期营收增速。
- 依据:营收与合同额数据为 Palantir 官方财报口径,美国企业 TCV 由上季 21.3 亿美元回落至 14.6 亿美元,短期合同趋势出自 CEO Karp 电话会发言,暂无独立验证。
Palantir delivered such a huge third-quarter earnings report on Monday that its press release even bragged that the numbers were “crushing consensus expectations.”
Yet, retail investors were lukewarm on the company on Tuesday, with the stock trading slightly down. That’s because Palantir’s enterprise sales, its big growth area, showed signs of slowing.
First, the good news for the company’s investors. Revenue grew 96% year over year to $2.31 billion, the first time it has ever surpassed the $2 billion mark. Palantir’s revenue, which also grew 20% from the previous quarter, beat analysts’ expectations of $2.18 billion. Palantir also reported adjusted earnings per share of $0.44 versus analysts’ expectations of $0.41. The company even upped its revenue guidance for the full year. Normally, that alone would send a stock soaring.
The clincher was that Palantir’s U.S. commercial revenue surpassed U.S. government revenue for the first time ever. The company reported $984 million in commercial contracts (up 148% from the year-ago quarter), versus $953 million in U.S. government revenue.
The reason for all this love from enterprises? They are signing up for the company’s AI software that can run frontier models and custom-train open-weight models securely, without sharing any of their data and business processes with outside AI labs. Plus, Palantir has always offered what is today known as “forward-deployed” software engineering, which helps customers customize its wares.
However, Palantir also revealed a less-than-rosy signal: Even as enterprises are moving faster than ever., they are often signing short-term trials.
“What Ryan and I are seeing on the front line and commercial is this much quicker interaction, much quicker to deployment, shorter duration of the contract but then an ability to expand that contract dramatically,” CEO Alex Karp (pictured above) told Wall Street analysts on the quarterly conference call.
Palantir is experiencing one of the unique phenomena of AI in the enterprise right now. Corporations are willing to quickly try AI software without their typical bureaucracy, but they are also more willing to cancel contracts.
Karp used one off-color metaphor after another to describe how unconcerned he was about holding onto his enterprise business.
“We’ve gone from being the most attractive person in the physics department to being the captain of the football team, kind of thing,” he said describing the influx of prospective corporate customers were flowing in. “Conversely, you know, once you go Palantir, you don’t go back, and that’s just that’s how it is, and you see it in our numbers.”
The numbers don’t yet confirm Palantir’s long-term success. While the company closed a hefty $1.46 billion of total contract value from U.S. enterprises in the quarter, that’s actually a decline from its record-setting $2.13 billion of enterprise TCV in the previous quarter. That suggests decelerating sales, at least last quarter.
The next earnings will show if Palantir has solidified its role as a rising U.S. enterprise AI provider. Historically, many enterprises sign their biggest tech purchases in the final quarter of the year. Certainly Karp and team are confident. They increased guidance for U.S. commercial revenue to be “in excess of $3.559 billion, representing a growth rate of at least 143%.”
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Julie Bort is the Startups/Venture Desk editor for TechCrunch.
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来源:TechCrunch · AI · techcrunch.com